The point of this thread wasn't diagnosing what happened to the Asiana flight. I should have been more specific, but I was soliciting opinions on the politics of information dissemination and news reporting, and didn't want to spell it out and over-guide the answers. However, I will do that now:
1. Why would the NTSB release some data points, but not others? Isn't this a change from their normal mode, which is to keep things like airspeeds etc. quiet until a more complete picture is concluded?
2. Why would the media eat all this up, play the lemming role, and try to trump each other with so-called expert speculations?
IMO, the answer to the second question is "because we can always count on news media to do that, to respond to entertainment and ratings first in the absence of anything newsworthy." Easy one.
The answer to the first question can be anything on the spectrum, from full-on conspiracy to simple dumb-ass politics. While I do happen to be one of those Flight 800 alternative theorists (why'd those FBI reports so conveniently disappear??), I don't think this one is anything black-helicopter. To me it just seems like public servants who are over-eager to please (NTSB heads), resulting in little premature pieces being chunked out to the media. Besides, I can't come up with any conspiratorial motives.
Well, I do have one, but it's one of those that you keep to yourself, for the moment. And as I've said, it's premature to conclude ANYTHING with only partial data. Although you could infer something from what the partial-ness implies... no I won't go there.
If I were the president of Asiana, I'd be beside myself because the NTSB leaks are only jamming media and public speculation over toward pilot error. Yeah, sure looks like it from what we've been fed, but understand that there could still be mechanical, electronic, physiological, philanthropic, gustatory, and olfactory reasons WHY the plane was slow, low, and left. (Ok ok, maybe not the last three reasons lol.)
So, back to question #1: WHY would NTSB do something (release information prematurely) that so obviously would slam public opinion toward pilot error, when there is a (small) chance that the final conclusions have some other mitigating factors? They are creating a self-fulfilling pressure on themselves to write the report exactly in that direction, when the accident is only 4 days old. Why o why?
Manfred